Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Debunking Clinton's Claims

That was easy:

One of her primary arguments (no pun intended) is that she wins the big states and the swing states. McAuliffe falsely claimed that she can win the states with the most electoral college votes. I'm not sure how they can make either claim, since she has never run a national campaign, but that's the assertion she and her campaign always makes. Unfortunately for Hillary, her primary wins in New York, Massachusetts, Ohio, Indiana, West Virginia, and others really bear no relationship to how she, or Obama for that matter, will perform in a general election. Here's why:

First, it's a DEMOCRATIC primary. She's only hearing from less than half of the total electorate, less than half of whom support her. She and her campaign have asserted that only she can win the states that she won in the primaries. Of course, that's absurd on the face, and anyone with objective judgment can recognized that. The Democratic candidate WILL WIN New York, California, Massachusetts, and the other blue states in the general election.

Congrats on her win in WV. The following quote from last night has me optimistic:
"I am more determined than ever to carry on this campaign until everyone has had a chance to make their voices heard," Sen. Clinton told supporters at a victory rally in Charleston Tuesday night.
Maybe this is just me looking for a pony, but it sounds like she'll drop out after the last primary (MT?). If that's what she needs to do to save face, that's fine, as it's impossible for her to win at this point. As a side effect, her continued campaign will force Obama to build his organization in every single state, which will come in handy in the general.

Onto McCain!

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