Saturday, October 15, 2005

Iraqi Constitution

Iraq has voted on their constitution today.

Just in case people were wondering, the insurgency has nothing to do with the constitution and therefore it remains totally unclear to me how the constitution will help the situation, if at all. For reference, see Afghanistan.

My prediction is that the constitution will pass, probably with U.S. and government forces presiding over an artificially low turnout that favors their desired outcome, but the Sunnis will eventually withdraw and the country will descend into civil war.

Thank you, George W. Bush.

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